One of the most ominous dramas of modern times is quietly unfolding. Below replacement fertility rates in many countries and the decline of the natural family are leading us to a demographic "tipping point" which threatens catastrophic consequences. In Demographic Bomb it poses the question: How do we value children in today's world? Do we value children as a blessing or as a burden? Has society been so indoctrinated with the idea that the world is over populated, that we are now willing to sacrifice children and a proven economic model that is essential for the growth and economic prosperity of every nation? In the documentary "Demographic Bomb, demography is destiny" it tells of the decline of the family and how below-replacement fertility has negatively affected the global economy. Today, most of the world is experiencing a birth dearth - for it takes 2.1 children to replace the previous generation and all of Europe is only at 1.36.
History has shown that as a country's population declines so does a country's economic future. The findings of the many scholars that we interviewed show that a country's economic future is ties closely to its demographic makeup and that as population increases, so does the stock of human ingenuity.
A good example from history on how birthrates have affected a country's future prosperity is a comparison between the United States and Japan. After World War II, the US soldiers came home and had babies and America enjoyed the 81 million baby boom generation, which led to 40 years of great prosperity for America. As the baby boom generation hit their pick spending age and increased their consumer spending, the US economy sky rocketed. It is individual spending that drives the economy, for it represents over 70% of the United States Gross National Product.
Where, on the other hand, Japan did not enjoy a baby boom after World War II. They had women in the workforce working for the war effort and war machine and after the war the women stayed in the workforce to clean up the ashes of destruction of World War II. Thus, they didn't have a lot of children, but with everyone in the workforce, there economy did extremely well for the next 30 plus years, but the forgot one thing--children for their future. So from their market peek in the late 1990's their stock market, the Nikkei, dropped 80% of its value over the next 14 years, and their real estate values dropped %60 across the board during that same time period.
Why is this important that a country understands something about demographics? Because as they understand the role that demographics play as a great predictor of a country's fate and future, they will come to realize that children are essential for a country's economic survival. Countries like Russia, which are aborting more children than are being born, and countries like China, which has the One-Child policy and through selective abortions and infeicide killings has now left over a 100 million men that will not be able to get married because there are not enough women to go around, will come to realize that if they want economic properity, they need to re-examine their population control policies and programs.
So, if we want to save millions of children each year who are the innocent victims of abortion, social decay, civil unrest and economic strife, then we need to educate policy makers on the messages that are contained in these two important documentaries.
Visit our website to find out more about Demographic Bomb- Demography is Destiny.
www.DemographicBomb.com
0 comments:
Post a Comment